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Drivers of change
The sport and recreation sector in New Zealand is undergoing significant transformations driven by various factors, including technological advances, shifting societal values, evolving global economic and geopolitical forces, growing environmental consciousness, and a focus on promoting health and wellbeing. These rapid changes require anticipation, agility, and adaptation within the sector.
To navigate these changes, it’s important to explore the drivers of change – the phenomena and events that will shape the future of sport and recreation. We have identified 15 critical drivers of change that will affect sport and recreation in New Zealand, describing their current state, potential developments over the next decade, and their potential impact.
Drivers of change
Below we explore the 15 drivers of change, with each driver having four components:
What are we seeing?
An overview of the driver and its current trajectory.
What can we expect?
How the driver could develop in the future based on current trajectory and expectations.
What might this mean for sport and recreation?
An outline of some of the main implications for the sport and recreation sector.
What questions should we be asking ourselves today?
Exploring our possible response today to improve our future resilience.
Alternative futures
The sport and recreation sector in New Zealand is facing unprecedented changes due to technological advances, shifting societal norms, and global economic forces. Embracing this dynamic environment and anticipating future challenges and opportunities is crucial for thriving in the coming years. Alternative futures provide a roadmap for decision-makers to shape a more resilient and sustainable future for sport and recreation in New Zealand. Exploring plausible future scenarios helps us to envision potential outcomes, develop strategies, and make informed decisions today.
The 15 drivers of change are used to craft four scenarios that describe a future of growth, discipline, collapse and transformation.
Download the report
Download the October 2024 alternative future scenarios.
Download the full July 2024 report including 4 alternative future scenarios.
If you require an accessible version of any content on the site please contact us and we will be happy to assist.
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